Hypothetical World War III  Philippine Scenario

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CLEMELLE L. MONTALLANA, DM, CESE

ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR III

Happiness is the Earth  not  a memory , the real thing.

In the mid-90s  this writer was  a college  student . And one of the most popular bands then was a group good looking dudes who call themselves as Introvoys. They have this song entitled called  Will I Survive?  Paco Arespacochaga  and Jonathan Buencamino headlines the group. That song has this Chorus ”

 Tell me, will I ever survive?
Stop my tears and keep it inside
Holding back myself from being close to you

Right now  the ditty  evokes a sadder note , will we ever survive World War 3? Come to think of it , can we really survive when  the lunatic leaders of our time lost their minds and launch Inter Continental Ballistic Missiles?

The Philippines is a country that has been experiencing strong economic growth and development in recent years. However, like any other country, it is not immune to the potential impacts of global events such as a hypothetical World War III.

While it is impossible to predict the exact course of events in such a scenario, it is possible to analyze potential outcomes and impacts on the Philippines.

According to an article by Esquire Philippines, World War III would be fought in five domains: land, sea, air, space, and cyberspace1The use of nuclear weapons is a possibility, but it might not be necessary due to the deterrence theory and mutually assured destruction1. In the event of a global conflict, the Philippines could potentially be affected in several ways.

Firstly, the country’s economy could be impacted by disruptions in global trade and commerce. The Philippines has a vibrant economy that is supported by strong consumer demand, a growing middle class, and robust remittances2. A global conflict could disrupt these economic drivers and potentially lead to a slowdown in growth.

Secondly, the country’s security could be threatened by regional instability. The Philippines is located in a region that has several ongoing territorial disputes and potential flashpoints for conflict. In the event of a global war, these disputes could escalate and potentially draw the Philippines into the conflict.

Finally, the country’s infrastructure and population could be at risk from direct attacks or collateral damage. In a global conflict, military targets such as ports, airfields, and communication facilities could be targeted. This could result in damage to infrastructure and potential loss of life.

In conclusion, while it is impossible to predict the exact course of events in a hypothetical World War III scenario, it is clear that the Philippines could potentially be impacted in several ways. It is important for the country to continue its efforts towards economic development and security to mitigate these potential risks. Conrad Kellog once said “The thing about happiness is that you only know you had it when it’s gone.”  Let this quote be just an on line quote made fAamous by the break up songs and soap opera we hear and watch , let the Earth be sa real as it can be , not a memory .

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